Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 885.607191 1006.984628 1143.759128 1310.257477 1508.749759 1739.414463 2030.102826
2025-03-30 682.142664 831.531458 1015.792857 1263.320868 1592.657494 2023.900260 2645.290424
2025-04-06 578.033631 734.488761 938.339295 1229.640073 1645.903344 2236.851150 3173.361138
2025-04-13 501.166103 657.299618 869.517553 1187.935840 1670.033576 2402.158083 3661.901655
2025-04-20 464.507343 627.473551 857.976504 1220.420633 1801.244561 2745.352086 4515.549681
2025-04-27 427.810963 592.119984 832.336882 1225.318620 1886.721529 3028.485340 5344.320183
2025-05-04 405.186422 574.063908 829.001618 1262.659129 2029.338113 3437.295448 6541.635840
2025-05-11 384.968415 557.021961 824.422756 1295.936271 2168.968577 3870.479425 7946.558661
2025-05-18 372.450920 550.283287 834.821002 1355.191914 2365.790917 4463.283687 9965.710466
2025-05-25 349.254500 524.132621 810.135156 1347.936599 2431.750295 4796.115949 11477.336488
2025-06-01 324.834013 493.820786 775.262709 1316.996959 2443.658448 5009.931411 12758.294700
2025-06-08 305.132770 469.732933 748.785731 1298.439673 2478.072427 5285.368844 14367.450326
2025-06-15 290.914062 455.118937 739.958286 1318.117310 2611.576454 5877.152232 17508.679845
2025-06-22 269.253661 426.190953 703.018865 1277.506701 2603.339307 6105.090017 19562.121137
2025-06-29 250.772230 401.273513 670.924499 1242.302483 2600.548987 6347.981568 21882.103070
2025-07-06 233.311435 376.864618 637.582201 1200.216345 2573.199438 6513.133104 24032.136968
2025-07-13 226.384072 370.881377 638.743809 1233.102473 2743.336962 7353.384341 30335.291358
2025-07-20 216.890060 359.425269 628.098507 1238.069531 2841.200608 7999.924003 36473.642470
2025-07-27 211.568178 355.302227 631.561195 1275.905057 3039.080055 9090.533428 47133.223248
2025-08-03 206.139396 350.531051 633.192385 1309.627462 3234.237428 10275.400518 60975.332685
2025-08-10 203.370063 350.635200 644.873521 1369.683402 3526.051338 12029.892785 84544.363282
2025-08-17 194.922468 339.002782 630.616186 1362.329581 3602.950323 12889.079351 102017.814569
2025-08-24 185.136665 324.107374 608.147640 1330.971470 3594.189294 13346.829518 116457.623605